Wednesday, April 09, 2014

Peak Urbanization

The city is dying at Pacific Standard magazine.

Theme: Demographic decline.

Subject Article: "Austin or Bust: America's Biggest Cities Lose People to the Urban B-List."

Other Links: 1. "Bright Flight From Silicon Valley."
2. "The End Of Geography."
3. "End Of Urban Hierarchy."
4. "Rust Belt Geographic Arbitrage: Buffalo."
5. "After years of brain drain, young people are moving back to Buffalo."
6. "Mesofact Migration."
7. "Website of Samuel Arbesman."
8. "The World Is Spiky: Globalization has changed the economic playing field, but hasn't leveled it."
9. "Why the Rent Is Too Damn High."
10. "People Develop, Not Places."

Postscript: To presage the next post, a teaser:

In developed countries, the urbanization project is basically complete. The remaining urban growth will play out almost entirely in developing countries. In 2010, the urban population in the regions that the United Nations classifies as less developed stood at 2.6 billion. In 100 years, it is likely to be three times larger. Moreover, as Angel (2012) shows, the historical pattern of urban growth suggests that over this time horizon, urban population density in developing cities could easily fall by half.

Emphasis added. If not for immigration, that would be obvious by now in the United States.

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